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Ian Gordon believes there is a 20% chance of a total seize up of the global financial system during 2011. He is certain current Fed policy will fail now just as it did during the 1930s to avoid another Great Depression. Why has the Fed continued to carry out policies that failed during the last major deflationary event? Perhaps it’s because those same policies did appear to work during the spring, summer and fall seasons of the 60-to-70 year Kondratieff cycle. It worked every time under Alan Greenspan’s watch. But Greenspan never faced the bursting of a credit bubble. That happened under Berna
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